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Showing posts with label FantasyPros. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FantasyPros. Show all posts

Tuesday, 13 May 2025

PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: PGA Championship (2025)

PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: PGA Championship (2025) - Justin Thomas

The second major of the 2025 PGA Tour season brings us to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina for the PGA Championship. Xander Schauffele will attempt to defend his 2024 title with co-betting favorites Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler leading the field of 156 golfers.

McIlroy has won at Quail Hollow Club four different times in his PGA Tour career. He’s red hot in 2025, posting three outright wins, including his first win at The Masters to complete a career Grand Slam at majors. Scheffler will make his solo debut at Quail Hollow Club after helping his team win the 2023 Presidents Cup at this course.

Last week’s Truist Championship DFS Primer had one good result but was primarily a disappointment. Corey Conners posted a T11 finish at -9-under-par during the PGA Tour’s inaugural outing at the Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course, coming through with a strong performance at $8.8K on DraftKings. Maverick McNealy ($8.3K – DK), Brian Harman ($8.9K – FD) and Tom Hoge ($8.5K – FD) all placed T46 or worse in a cut-free event, failing to generate any significant production in DFS lineups.

Here are four golfers that deserve to be plugged into DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineups during the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club this week. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more PGA DFS recommendations, along with analysis and free picks throughout the 2025 PGA Tour season.

DraftKings Sportsbook Offer

                                                              2025 PGA Championship DFS Primer

                                                              Previous Winners

                                                              • 2024 – Xander Schauffele (-21)
                                                              • 2023 – Brooks Koepka (-9)
                                                              • 2022 – Justin Thomas (-5)
                                                              • 2021 – Phil Mickelson (-6)
                                                              • 2020 – Collin Morikawa (-13)

                                                              Relevant Betting Stats

                                                              • Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
                                                              • Driving Distance
                                                              • Strokes Gained: Approach
                                                              • Scrambling
                                                              • Strokes Gained: Putting

                                                              Course Overview

                                                              Quail Hollow Club plays as a par 71 running 7,626 yards. It’s a difficult course due to its length, closing out with the infamous “Green Mile” on Holes 16-18. Recent renovations made by Tom Fazio have added distance and adjusted tee boxes.

                                                              The fairways are overseeded Bermudagrass with rye, which is also the same surface comprising the rough. Rough stands four inches tall, punishing errant lies off-the-tee and on approach, while plenty of trees also line fairways to create difficult recovery shots.

                                                              Bermudagrass greens expected to run upwards of 13 feet via Stimpmeter. This is the top-end speed on the PGA Tour. Greens are roughly average in size. Several water hazards in play, with most waiting on the back-nine, especially in the closing “Green Mile” stretch.

                                                              Distance off-the-tee and on approach are key to success at Quail Hollow Club. Driver will be the primary club on most par 4 and par 5 tees, while those who figure out the Bermudagrass putting speeds and breaks will gain another distinct advantage.

                                                              Recommended Plays: DraftKings

                                                              DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000

                                                              Justin Thomas: $9,900

                                                              I’ll take Justin Thomas at under a $10,000 salary on DraftKings. Thomas is red-hot right now, winning the RBC Heritage with a clutch 28-foot birdie to beat Andrew Novak on the first playoff hole. Followed that win up with a T2 finish at the Truist Championship.

                                                              Ranked third in total strokes gained this season, including fifth SG: Approach and 20th SG: Putting. Second on par 4s and birdie average (4.82), while sitting fifth in scoring average (69.18) and first on the PGA Tour in putting average.

                                                              Let’s grab a great tee-to-green tactician like Thomas, who also has 18 or more birdies in four of his past five events played.

                                                              Harris English: $6,800

                                                              Harris English is a sneaky play at under $7,000 this week. He’s great with his driver, ranked 24th in total driving, which will help him avoid bad lies at Quail Hollow Club this week.

                                                              Ranked 18th SG: Putting and top 60 on par 4s. English won the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines, which is a similar lengthy course that demands power and distance off-the-tee.

                                                              English has the ability to sink putts consistently, leading to three top 20 finishes in his last four events. Two of these outings saw English log 18 birdies, including at The Masters.

                                                              Logged a solo third-place finish at Quail Hollow Club during the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship. Let’s take the value on English and get him into DraftKings lineups at a cheap $6,800 salary.

                                                              Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now

                                                              Recommended Plays: FanDuel

                                                              FanDuel maximum salary is set at $60,000

                                                              Corey Conners: $9,500

                                                              I’m definitely running it back with Corey Conners this week, even at an elevated salary. He’s playing too well with his irons to ignore at under $10,000 on FanDuel DFS.

                                                              The Canadian ball-striker just logged a T11 finish at the Truist Championship. He’s coming off of an eighth-place finish at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship and another 13th-place finish in 2024 at the same event, held here at Quail Hollow Club.

                                                              Ranked 17th SG: Off-the-Tee, 10th at hitting greens in regulation, and 25th proximity. Putter remains shaky but ranks 14th on par 4s, 13th scrambling from the rough and 17th in driving accuracy.

                                                              I like Conners to keep playing well tee-to-green at Quail Hollow this week, logging his seventh top 20 finish in the past eight events. Make sure to grab him at $9,500 on FanDuel.

                                                              Keegan Bradley: $8,400

                                                              Keegan Bradley hasn’t lit the PGA Tour on fire in 2025 but he’s got two top 10s and six top 25s in 11 events played. Bradley ranks 26th in total strokes gained metrics, including 29th SG: Off-the-Tee and 23rd SG: Approach.

                                                              21st proximity, 28th on par 4s and 53rd in putting average. Bradley has gone 18-35-21 in his last three appearances at Quail Hollow during the Wells Fargo Championship events from 2021 – 2024.

                                                              Proven winner who is solid tee-to-green but has struggled with the putter in 2025. At $8.4K, Bradley offers decent value for us to hopefully get a seventh top 25 finish at the PGA Championship this week.

                                                              Try Daily Fantasy Golf at FanDuel now

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                                                              Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.

                                                              The post PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: PGA Championship (2025) appeared first on FantasyPros.



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                                                              Saturday, 10 May 2025

                                                              Derek Carr Retires: Fantasy Football Impact & Takeaways (2025)

                                                              Derek Carr Retires: Fantasy Football Impact & Takeaways (2025)

                                                              Derek Carr has announced his retirement, according to the New Orleans Saints, ending speculation about whether Carr would be able to play in 2025 after sustaining damage to his throwing shoulder.

                                                              The Saints say Carr, 34, has a torn labrum and “also had significant degenerative changes to his rotator cuff.”

                                                              Dynasty Draft Kit 2025

                                                              Derek Carr Retirement Fantasy Football Implications

                                                              Carr had two years remaining on his contract. His retirement will save the Saints $30 million, according to team beat writer Mike Triplett, although Carr is still owed a $10 million roster bonus.

                                                              Drafted 36th overall by the Raiders in 2014, Carr made 169 starts over 11 NFL seasons — the first nine with the Raiders, the last two with the Saints. He finished his career with 41,245 passing yards, 257 touchdown passes and 112 interceptions. He had four 4,000-yard passing seasons, all of them coming consecutively from 2018 to 2021.

                                                              Carr appeared in only one playoff game in his career, throwing for 310 yards with one touchdown and one interception in a 26-19 wild-card loss to the Bengals following the 2021 regular season.

                                                              Carr was a top-20 fantasy quarterback in 10 of his 11 seasons, though he never finished higher than QB10. He finished QB26 last year but missed seven games.

                                                              Though he was often maligned by fans, Carr was a perfectly average NFL starting quarterback. Lest that seem like a damnation of Carr with faint praise, consider how many teams are plagued with inadequate quarterbacking every season.

                                                              Which brings us to the fantasy ramifications of Carr’s retirement. The Saints now seem destined to be a team plagued with inadequate quarterbacking in 2025.

                                                              The Saints currently have three quarterbacks on their roster. They are:

                                                              • Tyler Shough, drafted in the second round this year out of Louisville
                                                              • Spencer Rattler, a fifth-round pick in 2024 who made six starts as a rookie
                                                              • Jake Haener, a fourth-round pick in 2023 who has made one career start

                                                              Barring the acquisition of Kirk Cousins, Aaron Rodgers or some other veteran — unlikely, since the Saints aren’t expected to contend for anything this year – it figures to be an open competition for the starting QB job this year.

                                                              Tyler Shough

                                                              Shough (pronounced “Shuck”) is the most intriguing of the candidates. He’s 25 years old and played seven college seasons, bouncing from Oregon to Texas Tech to Louisville. His long stay in college was partly injury-related. Shough broke his collarbone in 2021, reinjured it in 2022, and broke his leg in 2023.

                                                              The 6-5, 219-pound Shough has a live arm and runs surprisingly well for a bigger quarterback. In his final college season, he completed 62.7% of his throws with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions, averaging 266.3 passing yards per game and 8.2 yards per attempt. He had only 19 rushing yards last year, but remember that sacks count against a quarterback’s rushing yardage in college football. He had a 271-yard rushing season at Oregon and a 269-yard rushing season at Texas Tech.

                                                              Spencer Rattler

                                                              Rattler has the most professional experience from among this inexperienced group. His performances last season were predictably uneven — about what you’d expect from a fifth-round rookie being exposed to NFL defenses for the first time. He completed 57.0% of his passes and averaged just 5.8 yards per attempt, with four TD passes and five interceptions. Rattler averaged 197.0 passing yards and 22.7 rushing yards in his six starts.

                                                              Jake Haener

                                                              Haener made his only NFL start last December against the Commanders and was pulled at halftime after completing 4-of-10 passes for 49 yards with no touchdowns and one interception.

                                                              The QB Competition in 2025

                                                              The competition is likely to come down to Shough and Rattler. Because of his superior physical tools and higher draft capital, Shough would seem to be the most valuable dynasty asset, although “most valuable” might not mean much. If none of the three quarterbacks display much promise in 2025, the Saints will likely go quarterback-shopping in what could be a QB-rich 2026 NFL Draft.

                                                              Shough and Rattler are certainly rosterable in dynasty leagues. Shough should be considered a dynasty QB3 and might have particular appeal to rebuilding superflex teams.

                                                              For redraft purposes, none of the Saints’ quarterbacks are likely to be roster-worthy in standard-sized leagues. Whichever quarterback earns the starting job will be rosterable but probably not startable in superflex leagues.

                                                              Carr’s retirement doesn’t bode well for the 2025 fantasy outlook of Saints wide receivers and tight ends. Chris Olave profiles as a risky WR3 who’s dealt with concussion issues. WR Rashid Shaheed, who’s coming off a meniscus injury that limited him to six games last season, looks like a late-round flyer at best. WR Brandin Cooks and TE Juwan Johnson are waiver fodder.

                                                              The Saints’ bleak QB situation might be less damaging to the fantasy stock of RB Alvin Kamara, an accomplished pass catcher who might frequently be used as a safety valve for his inexperienced QBs.

                                                              dynasty rookie mock draft simulator


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                                                              The post Derek Carr Retires: Fantasy Football Impact & Takeaways (2025) appeared first on FantasyPros.



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                                                              Sunday, 4 May 2025

                                                              Video: MUST-START Pitchers & Waiver Wire Targets (2025 Fantasy Baseball)

                                                              Fantasy Baseball SP Rankings: Streamers, Two-Starts & Risky Plays

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                                                              Thursday, 1 May 2025

                                                              19 NFL Draft Winners & Losers (2025 Fantasy Football)

                                                              19 NFL Draft Winners & Losers (2025 Fantasy Football)

                                                              The 2025 NFL Draft has come and gone, and with it, the fantasy football landscape has shifted dramatically. From promising rookies walking into dream scenarios to veteran players who saw their value plummet overnight, fantasy managers now face a critical window to re-evaluate rankings, depth charts, and draft boards. Whether you’re prepping for redraft season or knee-deep in dynasty rookie drafts, understanding which players gained or lost the most value is essential to gaining an edge.

                                                              In this article, we break down the biggest NFL Draft winners and losers for fantasy football, highlighting rookies like RJ Harvey and Travis Hunter who landed in prime positions to shine, and veterans like Najee Harris and Cole Kmet who may have lost their grip on fantasy relevance. If you’re researching “NFL Draft winners and losers for fantasy” to identify post-draft risers, fallers, and sneaky value plays-you’re in the right place.

                                                              Let’s dive in.

                                                              Dynasty Draft Kit 2025

                                                              NFL Draft Winners & Losers for Fantasy Football

                                                              1. Who is the rookie whose stock is on the rise the most by virtue of the situation he walks into (team/depth/etc) and why? Also, how early should he go in a rookie draft?

                                                              RJ Harvey (RB – DEN)

                                                              RJ Harvey hit the lottery after he was drafted by the Denver Broncos. Harvey has the opportunity to win this job immediately, competing with Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Esteme. The only questions that surround Harvey are related to his size, but that shouldn’t matter much here. He is going into an offense conducted by Sean Payton, who loves running backs with top notch vision and can catch the ball. Harvey is that guy, and can very easily be the leader in carries this season for the Broncos. Harvey is my 9th overall player in my rookie rankings, making him a lean 1st round selection in rookie drafts and a great sleeper in all redraft formats. ”
                                                              Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

                                                              “I don’t think any RB arguably saw a bigger bump post-draft than former UCF RB R.J. Harvey. Denver selected him in the second round, well ahead of where he was mocked pre-draft. Harvey is a super explosive running back and was highly efficient at the college level. He finished in the top 10 in the FBS in forced missed tackles, trailing only Ashton Jeanty in rushes of 10+ yards. Harvey landed on a team with a wide-open backfield where he can establish himself as the lead back, or at least the 1A, if not the clear-cut No. 1 RB for the Broncos. That cements him firmly at the end of Round 1 rookie drafts.”
                                                              Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

                                                              Jaydon Blue (RB – DAL)

                                                              “While Jaydon Blue was a fifth-round pick in the NFL Draft, the former Texas star is one of my favorite rookie draft targets this year. He landed in an excellent situation for his fantasy value. The Cowboys lack a clear-cut starter on the roster, with Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders struggling the past few years. Furthermore, the team spent two picks improving their offensive line, including their top selection on Tyler Booker. More importantly, Blue is an explosive runner who can have a massive impact in the passing game. No one should be surprised if he ranks along the league leaders in receptions by a running back, given Dallas’ lack of proven pass catchers. I would draft Blue in the late second round of superflex rookie drafts.”
                                                              Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

                                                              Kaleb Johnson (RB – PIT)

                                                              Kaleb Johnson is the perfect bruising RB the Steelers needed with the departure of Najee Harris. Johnson may not have that top shelf speed, but he’s a physical back who should adapt well the the offense and environment where Pittsburgh will run early and often. Although Jaylen Warren still looms, his reoccurring injury issues open a huge path for Johnson to have more of a 70/30 split of the carries for Pittsburgh. ”
                                                              Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

                                                              Kyle Williams (WR – NE)

                                                              “It’s Kyle Williams. Although Chris Simms was on Williams from the jump, many other NFL and fantasy analysts didn’t even have Williams on their board. In my Adjust the Ranks expert mocks this offseason, Williams wasn’t even considered until the end of March and ended up as the consensus 41st player off the board as a result. Now, despite being buried in ADP, Williams is a late 2nd round pick in a wide open WR room in New England. Scroll down the rankings and lock him up if he falls any further in your drafts.”
                                                              Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

                                                              Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE)

                                                              “The Browns told us which direction they were going on draft day when they took two running backs in the first four rounds. Judkins should immediately get the early down work and could push for 225-plus carries as a rookie. His physical run style will make a feature in goal-line situations. Look for Judkins at the 4-5 turn in redraft leagues. ”
                                                              Lee Wehry (FantasyPros)

                                                              Travis Hunter (WR – JAC)

                                                              “Without a doubt, it’s Travis Hunter. A lot of NFL teams viewed Hunter solely as a CB, which would have made him useless in most fantasy football leagues, with the exception being IDP leagues. However, the Jaguars said they wanted TDs and plan on using Hunter plenty at WR. Hunter is arguably the best WR in the draft, and the mere fact that Jacksonville is willing to use him at WR, vaults him to the early part of the first round in rookie drafts. Ringo’s comp: Travis Hunter reminds me of a lighter version of Ja’Marr Chase at WR and former Heisman Trophy winner, Charles Woodson, at CB.”
                                                              Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

                                                              Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (Updated)

                                                              What veteran player walks away as the biggest winner based on the new addition(s) to his team and how does it affect how you value him this season?

                                                              Baker Mayfield (QB – TB)

                                                              Baker Mayfield has got to be smiling pretty big after how the Buccaneers took care of him in this draft. The Bucs spent two of their six selections on wide receivers, namely at 19th overall when the Bucs selected Emeka Egbuka out of The Ohio State University. In the long run, this pick makes a ton of sense. Chris Godwin should be back fully healthy after his injury last year, and Mike Evans is entering the last year of his deal. If Evans does leave Tampa, here is his replacement in the Tampa passing game in Egbuka. However in the short term, Baker Mayfield has an absolute bevy of options to choose from. Mayfield was a great option before, now he is a fantastic option for 2025.”
                                                              Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

                                                              Jordan Love (QB – GB)

                                                              Jordan Love only got one new addition to his receiving core in free agency after the Packers signed Mecole Hardman, despite Christian Watson expected to miss a significant chunk of the 2025 season with a torn ACL. However, he was a massive winner following the NFL Draft. Green Bay used their first three picks to improve his supporting cast, drafting Matthew Golden and Savion Williams to improve their receiving core. Furthermore, the Packers spent their second-round pick on Anthony Belton, giving Love a big body protector in front of him. Love went from a mid-range QB2 I wasn’t targeting in redraft leagues to a likely low-end QB1 with meaningful upside.”
                                                              Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

                                                              Javonte Williams (RB – DAL)

                                                              “Unfortunately, the answer is Javonte Williams. After signing a one-year deal with the Cowboys, we all thought they would draft a true future three-down back from a class bursting with talent at the position. Well, they did draft Jaydon Blue from Texas, but he’s more of a change-of-pace guy at his size. Miles Sanders is dust, so Williams, as of now, is the clear lead fantasy back of note in that backfield.”
                                                              Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

                                                              D’Andre Swift (RB – CHI)

                                                              D’Andre Swift was expected to be replaced by the offensive coordinator who basically jettisoned him from Detriot in new Bears Head Coach Ben Johnson. But now, with only Kyle Monangai brought into Chicago’s RB room, Swift is still set to lead the backfield. More importantly, he’s clearly the best pass catcher in the room, keeping him very fantasy relevant on an ascending offense. He’s a mid-range RB2 with RB1 upside if Roschon Johnson and Monangai can’t take significant work away from him.”
                                                              Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

                                                              Chase Brown (RB – CIN)

                                                              “The Bengals added a couple of offensive linemen in their 2025 draft haul, but did nothing to add to the backfield until adding Tahj Brooks from Texas Tech in the sixth round. Coming off a season that saw him rush for just under 1,000 yards and adding 54 receptions and 360 yards through the air, Brown appears to have earned the coaching staff’s confidence. He should be an RB2 with upside this season.”
                                                              Lee Wehry (FantasyPros)

                                                              Drake Maye (QB – NE)

                                                              “The Patriots made four offensive selections during the first two days of the NFL Draft to provide QB Drake Maye the support he needs to take a sophomore leap. The Pats selected offensive tackle Will Campbell, running back TreVeyon Henderson, wide receiver Kyle Williams and center Jared Wilson. Not only did they beef up the offensive line, but they added explosive playmakers that this New England offense has so severely lacked. With an improved supporting cast, improved coaching and rushing upside, Maye is my top target in the late-round QB territory after he finished as the QB15 in points per game in 2024.”
                                                              Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

                                                              Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS)

                                                              “For me, the biggest winner is someone most people probably won’t think of just because he’s already so talented, and that’s Jayden Daniels. Washington not only added OT Josh Conerly in the draft, but also brought in Pro Bowl LT Laremy Tunsil in a trade with Houston, which give the Commanders one of the best offensive lines they’ve fielded in years. They also traded a fifth-round pick for WR Deebo Samuel, whose YAC (yards after catch) is one of the best in the league. The new fortified offensive line should propel not just Daniels but the entire Washington offense (McLaurin, Brian Robinson Jr., Ekeler, Ertz, etc.) to even greater heights in 2025. Honorable mentions: Caleb Williams, Trevor Lawrence, Drake Maye, and Justin Fields.”
                                                              Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

                                                              Caleb Williams (QB – CHI)

                                                              Caleb Williams was far and away the most sacked QB last year with 68 sacks, a whopping 16 more than the next QB (C.J. Shroud with 52). The Bears organization responded by overhauling the entire O-Line by trading for Joe Thuney (KC) and Jonah Jackson (LAR), signing Drew Dalman (ATL), and drafting Ozzy Trapilo with the 56th pick in this years draft. Additionally, they drafted additional start power weapons in the form of WR Luther Burden III and TE Colston Loveland while keeping DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, and Cole Kmet. I expect Caleb Williams to have a monster year and finish well within the top 12 of QBs.”
                                                              Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)

                                                              dynasty rookie mock draft simulator

                                                              What veteran player walks away as the biggest loser based on the new addition(s) to his team and how does it affect how you value him this season?

                                                              Najee Harris (RB – LAC)

                                                              “After signing a two-year contract with the Los Angeles Chargers, many had Najee Harris on their fantasy draft boards for 2025. Now, yuck. It certainly feels like the Chargers, mainly OC Greg Roman, will be operating with a committee after the team used the 22nd overall selection on former UNC Tar Heels running back Omarion Hampton. Hampton is the future for the Chargers, while Najee most certainly feels like a lame duck in that running back room. Harris cannot be drafted as anything more than a low-ceiling flex option for 2025.”
                                                              Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

                                                              “While Najee Harris has never been the sexiest fantasy pick, his durability (he has never missed a game) and reliability (he has only fumbled three times in his career) have made him a go-to RB2. Putting him in Jim Harbaugh’s offense with the Chargers, behind a solid offensive line, looked like a home run. Enter dynamic rookie running back Omarion Hampton. While Harris should still be a solid football option, his fantasy value has taken a massive hit after the draft.”
                                                              Lee Wehry (FantasyPros)

                                                              “The Chargers drafted North Carolina RB Omarion Hampton 22nd overall to be their future bell cow. Najee Harris is on a one-year deal. I could see Hampton and Harris splitting work to some extent in 2025, but we know which running back will be spearheading this team at the end of the season and in 2026. Even if it might be annoying at times during the start of the 2025 season, drafting Hampton should pay off in the long run. That makes Harris nothing more than an early-season zero-RB target that can help provide some early-season production as Hampton gets brought up to speed. Keep in mind that LA re-signing J.K. Dobbins is also a likely outcome, given that the team placed the unrestricted free agent tender on him to give them exclusive negotiating rights if he doesn’t sign with another team before training camp. Considering his laundry list of injuries and the lack of general interest in veteran RB market this offseason, don’t be shocked if Dobbins returns to LA.”
                                                              Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

                                                              Cole Kmet (TE – CHI)

                                                              Cole Kmet was going to be a popular sleeper tight end in redraft leagues this year after the Bears hired Ben Johnson as their new head coach. Many were ready to call for a big season from Kmet as Johnson’s new Sam LaPorta. However, Chicago crushed his fantasy value during the NFL Draft. First, they drafted Colston Loveland in the first round. Yet, Kmet still had meaningful fantasy value. Unfortunately, the Bears used their next pick on Luther Burden III, who some believe will fill the Amon-Ra St. Brown role in Johnson’s offense. Two weeks ago, Kmet had a chance to be third on the team in targets. Now, he is barely worth drafting in the later rounds of deeper or tight end premium leagues.”
                                                              Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

                                                              Rhamondre Stevenson (RB – NE)

                                                              Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled 7 times last year, was being benched down the stretch, and that long-term deal he signed means very little to the incoming coaching staff. The Patriots’ drafting of TreVeyon Henderson, who’s a great pass blocker and far more explosive back, could mean a dwindling timeshare for carries as the season progresses for Stevenson in the New England backfield. Perhaps sooner than later, too.”
                                                              Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

                                                              Jerome Ford (RB – CLE)

                                                              “It shouldn’t be a surprise, but any value Jerome Ford was hanging on to was nuked in the draft. While other draft-day losers like Najee Harris should still retain a decent workload in LA for now, the combination of Quinshon Judkins and Dylan Sampson should relegate Ford to the bench almost immediately. If you can somehow move him now, do it. Ford’s value is tanking but it will never recover. Sadly, the former RB2 is now fantasy dead.”
                                                              Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

                                                              Kenneth Walker III (RB – SEA)

                                                              “It’s not only Kenneth Walker III, but the entire Seattle offense who could be in trouble. The Sam Darnold, I know and love, finally showed up last year and saw ghosts in the playoffs, when the Vikings got smoked by the Rams in Arizona, even with a partisan Vikings’ crowd cheering them on. Seattle coughed up $100 million for Darnold, which is a huge gamble considering how bad he looked in the playoffs. Without the stout Vikings’ defense, offensive line, and weather-controlled climate to support him, I think Darnold will find the going to be a lot tougher in Seattle. That’s bad news for the Seahawks’ offense, where Kenneth Walker III needs a lot of TDs to justify his current, lofty ranking at RB 16, and I don’t see that happening. Honorable mentions: Najee Harris, Tyrone Tracy, Cooper Kupp, and C.J. Stroud.”
                                                              Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)


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                                                              The post 19 NFL Draft Winners & Losers (2025 Fantasy Football) appeared first on FantasyPros.



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                                                              Tuesday, 29 April 2025

                                                              PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: The CJ CUP Byron Nelson (2025)

                                                              PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: The CJ CUP Byron Nelson (2025) - Rasmus Hojgaard

                                                              The PGA Tour returns to its standard stroke-play format ahead of Thursday’s opening round at the 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson. 156 golfers will tee it up at TPC Craig Ranch, which is a par 71 that runs over 7,500 yards. We’ll dive into the course layout and hazards momentarily.

                                                              I took off writing this article during the Zurich Classic due to its unique team format, so let’s quickly recap my 2025 RBC Heritage DFS Primer. All four of my prospects at the latest Signature Event played well. Brian Harman was the best return on investment with his T3 finish at $7.6K on DraftKings. Patrick Cantlay (T13) and Tom Hoge (T18) carded top 20 finishes, albeit at much different salaries, while Aaron Rai had the worst outing at T38.

                                                              I’ve got four prospects worth inserting into DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineups for the 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more PGA DFS recommendations. Get analysis and free picks throughout the 2025 PGA Tour season.

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                                                                                            2025 The CJ CUP Byron Nelson DFS Primer

                                                                                            Previous Winners

                                                                                            • 2024 – Taylor Pendrith (-23)
                                                                                            • 2023 – Jason Day (-23)
                                                                                            • 2022 – K.H. Lee (-26)
                                                                                            • 2021 – K.H. Lee (-25)
                                                                                            • 2019 – Sung Kang (-23)

                                                                                            Relevant Betting Stats

                                                                                            • Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
                                                                                            • Driving Distance
                                                                                            • Strokes Gained: Approach
                                                                                            • Strokes Gained: Putting

                                                                                            Course Overview

                                                                                            TPC Craig Ranch is a Tom Weiskopf design that is a par 71, measuring 7,569 yards. It’s a lengthy track with Zoysiagrass fairways, Bermudagrass rough that stands four inches, along with Bentgrass greens that run 11.5 feet via Stimpmeter.

                                                                                            Fairways at TPC Craig Ranch are wide, offering soft targets off-the-tee. Distance is key, with many par 4s exceeding 450 yards and three of four par 3s running north of 200 yards.

                                                                                            There are minimal water hazards but numerous sprawling sand bunkers are located along fairways and the relatively small Bentgrass greens. Winds are forecast to pick up as this event heads into the weekend, which will create another hazard.

                                                                                            Ultimately, golfers with power off-the-tee, the ability to hit greens in regulation with consistency, and finish birdie putts on these Bentgrass greens will be rewarded with low scorecards. Scrambling is less of a factor here this week, while accuracy off-the-tee is also mitigated in favor of distance.

                                                                                            Recommended Plays: DraftKings

                                                                                            DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000

                                                                                            Rasmus Hojgaard: $8,900

                                                                                            Rasmus Hojgaard has no shortage of power off-the-tee. The Denmark native ranks ninth in driving distance, which is a focal point this week at TPC Craig Ranch.

                                                                                            Hojgaard is also 26th on approach shots from 200+ yards and is 46th in birdie average. At under $9,000 on DraftKings, we’re not overpaying for Hojgaard’s power and finishing ability. He’s a solid first addition to DraftKings lineups this week.

                                                                                            Jake Knapp: $8,400

                                                                                            Another bomber off-the-tee, Jake Knapp had a lot of success playing at this course in 2024. Knapp turned in a solo eighth finish a year ago and ranks 21st SG: Putting, 34th in driving distance and 12th for birdie average.

                                                                                            Knapp is averaging 68.3 fantasy points per game. He’s logged 15-23 birdies in three of his past five solo events played. A couple of missed cuts is the only reason we’re getting Knapp at under an $8,500 salary, so let’s take advantage of this discounted rate.

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                                                                                            Victor Perez: $8,400

                                                                                            Victor Perez has played well in 2025 but he did miss the cut in his last solo outing at the Valero Texas Open. Now, we’re getting him at $8,400 salary on FanDuel.

                                                                                            Perez ranks 48th SG: Off-the-Tee, including 57th in total strokes gained. He’s 10th in total driving, blending power and accuracy. The French native is also 43rd at finding greens in regulation at 67 percent.

                                                                                            Ranking 48th on par 4s and 26th in scoring average adds more incentive to invest in Perez for a bounce-back effort at TPC Craig Ranch this week. Let’s grab Perez at $8.4K on FanDuel.

                                                                                            Sam Ryder: $8,400

                                                                                            Sam Ryder is still searching for his first top 10 finish this season but I’m bullish on him this week. Ryder ranks 35th total strokes gained, which includes third SG: Putting. This will be a huge advantage at a course like TPC Craig Ranch.

                                                                                            Ryder logged a T14 and T16 in back-to-back events at The Players Championship and Valspar Championship last month. He’s capable of getting hot with his flat stick as we’ve seen throughout his PGA Tour career. He’s 36th on approach shots from 200+ yards, 24th scrambling, 19th in scoring average and 20th in one-putt percentage.

                                                                                            Off-the-Tee is where Ryder has struggled the most this season, ranked 153rd, including 110th in distance. We’ll need him to lean on his irons and short game, which I believe he’ll be able to do with consistency.

                                                                                            He hasn’t missed a cut this season and ranks 29th in total birdies (159). Ryder is a sneaky play at $8,400 on FanDuel, so let’s prioritize him as a value add to DFS lineups at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

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                                                                                            Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.

                                                                                            The post PGA DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: The CJ CUP Byron Nelson (2025) appeared first on FantasyPros.



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